Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.264777e-05 0.000039 0.000045 0.000052 0.000060 0.000069 0.000079
2025-03-30 2.460478e-05 0.000032 0.000041 0.000051 0.000064 0.000078 0.000095
2025-04-06 1.863457e-05 0.000027 0.000037 0.000050 0.000066 0.000084 0.000107
2025-04-13 1.374904e-05 0.000022 0.000032 0.000047 0.000065 0.000087 0.000116
2025-04-20 1.064400e-05 0.000019 0.000029 0.000045 0.000065 0.000091 0.000125
2025-04-27 8.714557e-06 0.000017 0.000028 0.000045 0.000068 0.000098 0.000138
2025-05-04 7.263207e-06 0.000015 0.000027 0.000045 0.000070 0.000104 0.000150
2025-05-11 6.626194e-06 0.000015 0.000027 0.000047 0.000076 0.000115 0.000168
2025-05-18 5.589424e-06 0.000013 0.000026 0.000047 0.000079 0.000121 0.000181
2025-05-25 4.250147e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000045 0.000077 0.000122 0.000186
2025-06-01 3.340233e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000044 0.000077 0.000125 0.000193
2025-06-08 2.724662e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000043 0.000078 0.000129 0.000203
2025-06-15 2.108717e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000043 0.000080 0.000135 0.000217
2025-06-22 1.577384e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000042 0.000081 0.000140 0.000229
2025-06-29 1.095834e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000040 0.000081 0.000143 0.000239
2025-07-06 6.735220e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000038 0.000079 0.000143 0.000243
2025-07-13 4.356552e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000078 0.000145 0.000252
2025-07-20 3.075333e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000036 0.000080 0.000151 0.000265
2025-07-27 2.183842e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000036 0.000082 0.000158 0.000280
2025-08-03 1.908749e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000038 0.000088 0.000170 0.000304
2025-08-10 1.318121e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000039 0.000090 0.000177 0.000320
2025-08-17 6.371483e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000036 0.000088 0.000177 0.000324
2025-08-24 3.081195e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000035 0.000088 0.000179 0.000333